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Friday, September 11, 2026

Daily MLB Betting Research

Bump scans today's MLB slate and scores each starting pitcher based on ERA, WHIP, and recent form. Higher fat pitch scores mean a pitcher is more hittable — a signal for targeting the opposing team through moneylines, totals, batter props, and parlays. Expand any game card to see the top hitters ranked by OBP, slugging, and batting average.

High fat pitch (>65)Moderate (40–65)Strong (<40)No 2026 starts

Belly-Itchers

today's most hittable starters

Jeffrey SpringsOAK
55.4

Athletics vs Mariners

Fri, Sep 11, 9:40 PM

Max ScherzerTOR
54.6

Blue Jays vs Orioles

Fri, Sep 11, 7:07 PM

Yusei KikuchiLAA
54.5

Angels vs Nationals

Fri, Sep 11, 6:45 PM

Chris BassittBAL
54.3

Orioles vs Blue Jays

Fri, Sep 11, 7:07 PM

Matthew LiberatoreSTL
53.4

Cardinals vs White Sox

Fri, Sep 11, 8:15 PM

Pirates (74-73) @ Cubs (81-66)

Fri, Sep 11, 2:20 PM · Wrigley Field

Pittsburgh Pirates

Wilber Dotel

44.0
Season ERA4.41(no starts yet)Recent ERA—(no starts yet)

Chicago Cubs

Shota Imanaga

38.6
Season ERA3.91(28 GS)Recent ERA3.84(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Rockies (55-91) @ Tigers (67-79)

Fri, Sep 11, 6:40 PM · Comerica Park

COL +157 · DET -191 · O/U 8

Colorado Rockies

+157

Mason Adams

46.9
Season ERA3.95(3 GS)Recent ERA3.07(3 GS)

Detroit Tigers

-191

Framber Valdez

45.5
Season ERA4.17(28 GS)Recent ERA4.30(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Angels (56-90) @ Nationals (67-81)

Fri, Sep 11, 6:45 PM · Nationals Park

LAA +129 · WSH -156 · O/U 8

Los Angeles Angels

+129

Yusei Kikuchi

54.5
Season ERA4.96(10 GS)Recent ERA5.78(5 GS)

Washington Nationals

-156

Cade Cavalli

36.9
Season ERA3.12(30 GS)Recent ERA3.21(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Mets (68-78) @ Yankees (84-62)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:05 PM · Yankee Stadium

NYM +118 · NYY -142 · O/U 7.5

New York Mets

+118

Nolan McLean

33.9
Season ERA3.06(28 GS)Recent ERA3.22(5 GS)

New York Yankees

-142

Carlos Rodón

33.1
Season ERA3.09(13 GS)Recent ERA3.19(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Orioles (71-76) @ Blue Jays (73-74)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:07 PM · Rogers Centre

BAL +105 · TOR -126 · O/U 8.5

Baltimore Orioles

+105

Chris Bassitt

54.3
Season ERA4.96(15 GS)Recent ERA4.97(5 GS)

Toronto Blue Jays

-126

Max Scherzer

54.6
Season ERA6.03(14 GS)Recent ERA6.64(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Royals (65-82) @ Red Sox (80-67)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:10 PM · Fenway Park

KC +168 · BOS -205 · O/U 8.5

Kansas City Royals

+168

Seth Lugo

50.8
Season ERA5.04(29 GS)Recent ERA4.80(5 GS)

Boston Red Sox

-205

Sonny Gray

34.6
Season ERA2.69(26 GS)Recent ERA2.75(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Astros (75-72) @ Rays (87-59)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:10 PM · Tropicana Field

HOU +143 · TB -174 · O/U 7.5

Houston Astros

+143

Miguel Ullola

29.4
Season ERA3.86(no starts yet)Recent ERA—(no starts yet)

Tampa Bay Rays

-174

Drew Rasmussen

29.2
Season ERA2.88(27 GS)Recent ERA2.91(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Dodgers (89-57) @ Marlins (72-75)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:10 PM · loanDepot park

Los Angeles Dodgers

TBD

—
Season ERA—(no starts yet)Recent ERA—(no starts yet)

Miami Marlins

Ryan Gusto

46.2
Season ERA4.23(15 GS)Recent ERA4.23(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Phillies (82-65) @ Braves (86-61)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:15 PM · Truist Park

PHI +152 · ATL -185 · O/U 7.5

Philadelphia Phillies

+152

Aaron Nola

49.3
Season ERA4.76(29 GS)Recent ERA5.03(5 GS)

Atlanta Braves

-185

Chris Sale

28.5
Season ERA2.10(25 GS)Recent ERA2.14(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Reds (69-77) @ Brewers (91-56)

Fri, Sep 11, 7:45 PM · American Family Field

CIN +157 · MIL -191 · O/U 8

Cincinnati Reds

+157

Andrew Abbott

45.9
Season ERA4.43(29 GS)Recent ERA4.25(5 GS)

Milwaukee Brewers

-191

Dustin May

45.9
Season ERA4.69(27 GS)Recent ERA4.53(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Guardians (74-73) @ Twins (69-77)

Fri, Sep 11, 8:10 PM · Target Field

CLE -122 · MIN +101 · O/U 7.5

Cleveland Guardians

-122

Parker Messick

29.8
Season ERA2.53(28 GS)Recent ERA2.52(5 GS)

Minnesota Twins

+101

Taj Bradley

40.2
Season ERA3.95(28 GS)Recent ERA3.93(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

White Sox (75-71) @ Cardinals (72-75)

Fri, Sep 11, 8:15 PM · Busch Stadium

CWS -112 · STL -107 · O/U 8.5

Chicago White Sox

-112

Anthony Kay

45.2
Season ERA4.47(27 GS)Recent ERA4.16(5 GS)

St. Louis Cardinals

-107

Matthew Liberatore

53.4
Season ERA5.57(28 GS)Recent ERA5.31(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Mariners (69-78) @ Athletics (59-88)

Fri, Sep 11, 9:40 PM · Sutter Health Park

SEA -168 · OAK +138 · O/U 10

Seattle Mariners

-168

George Kirby

46.0
Season ERA4.18(27 GS)Recent ERA4.09(5 GS)

Athletics

+138

Jeffrey Springs

55.4
Season ERA6.02(26 GS)Recent ERA6.13(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

Rangers (72-75) @ D-backs (78-69)

Fri, Sep 11, 9:40 PM · Chase Field

Texas Rangers

TBD

—
Season ERA—(no starts yet)Recent ERA—(no starts yet)

Arizona Diamondbacks

TBD

—
Season ERA—(no starts yet)Recent ERA—(no starts yet)

Lineup Pending

Padres (78-68) @ Giants (62-85)

Fri, Sep 11, 10:15 PM · Oracle Park

SD -143 · SF +118 · O/U 8

San Diego Padres

-143

Robbie Ray

38.7
Season ERA3.39(27 GS)Recent ERA3.24(5 GS)

San Francisco Giants

+118

Anthony Molina

30.3
Season ERA2.79(2 GS)Recent ERA3.28(2 GS)

Lineup Pending

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Top Matchups

The 3 games with the biggest fat pitch score differential — where one pitcher is a clear target.

Hot Hitters

Batters on a tear over their last 3–5 games. Stack them against today's belly-itchers.

Fat Pitch Recaps

Did yesterday's high-fat-pitch pitchers get lit up? Track how the scores performed.

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