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Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Daily MLB Betting Research

Bump scans today's MLB slate and scores each starting pitcher based on ERA, WHIP, and recent form. Higher fat pitch scores mean a pitcher is more hittable — a signal for targeting the opposing team through moneylines, totals, batter props, and parlays. Expand any game card to see the top hitters ranked by OBP, slugging, and batting average.

High fat pitch (>65)Moderate (40–65)Strong (<40)No 2026 starts

Belly-Itchers

today's most hittable starters

Max ScherzerTOR
74.7

Blue Jays vs Nationals

Mon, Jul 27, 6:45 PM

David PetersonCHC
57.2

Cubs vs Cardinals

Mon, Jul 27, 7:45 PM

Matthew LiberatoreSTL
54.6

Cardinals vs Cubs

Mon, Jul 27, 7:45 PM

Jack PerkinsOAK
53.7

Athletics vs Red Sox

Mon, Jul 27, 9:40 PM

Noah SchultzCWS
53.0

White Sox vs Yankees

Mon, Jul 27, 7:40 PM

Mariners (52-55) @ Rangers (54-52)

Mon, Jul 27, 2:35 PM · Globe Life Field

Seattle Mariners

George Kirby

44.3
Season ERA3.98(20 GS)Recent ERA3.81(5 GS)

Texas Rangers

Kumar Rocker

42.6
Season ERA4.03(18 GS)Recent ERA4.07(5 GS)

Orioles (52-55) @ Tigers (50-57)

Mon, Jul 27, 6:40 PM · Comerica Park

BAL +113 · DET -136 · O/U 9

Baltimore Orioles

+113

Kyle Bradish

42.3
Season ERA3.74(21 GS)Recent ERA3.67(5 GS)

Detroit Tigers

-136

Keider Montero

33.7
Season ERA3.34(17 GS)Recent ERA3.43(5 GS)

D-backs (55-52) @ Pirates (55-52)

Mon, Jul 27, 6:40 PM · PNC Park

ARI -103 · PIT -117 · O/U 9

Arizona Diamondbacks

-103

Merrill Kelly

52.0
Season ERA4.86(19 GS)Recent ERA5.25(5 GS)

Pittsburgh Pirates

-117

Mitch Keller

47.1
Season ERA4.83(21 GS)Recent ERA4.95(5 GS)

Phillies (57-50) @ Marlins (53-54)

Mon, Jul 27, 6:40 PM · loanDepot park

PHI -107 · MIA -113 · O/U 8

Philadelphia Phillies

-107

Zack Wheeler

26.4
Season ERA2.53(17 GS)Recent ERA2.29(5 GS)

Miami Marlins

-113

Tyler Phillips

41.0
Season ERA3.52(11 GS)Recent ERA3.46(5 GS)

Blue Jays (49-58) @ Nationals (54-53)

Mon, Jul 27, 6:45 PM · Nationals Park

TOR +119 · WSH -144 · O/U 9

Toronto Blue Jays

+119

Max Scherzer

74.7
Season ERA9.49(7 GS)Recent ERA9.22(5 GS)

Washington Nationals

-144

Eddy Yean

21.4
Season ERA2.35(1 GS)Recent ERA2.35(1 GS)

Braves (62-44) @ Mets (45-62)

Mon, Jul 27, 7:10 PM · Citi Field

ATL -162 · NYM +134 · O/U 7.5

Atlanta Braves

-162

Martín Pérez

37.0
Season ERA3.49(16 GS)Recent ERA3.34(5 GS)

New York Mets

+134

Zac Thornton

32.6
Season ERA2.43(5 GS)Recent ERA3.92(5 GS)

Yankees (59-46) @ White Sox (55-49)

Mon, Jul 27, 7:40 PM · Rate Field

O/U 13.5

New York Yankees

Max Fried

30.8
Season ERA3.23(12 GS)Recent ERA2.94(5 GS)

Chicago White Sox

Noah Schultz

53.0
Season ERA6.15(13 GS)Recent ERA5.93(5 GS)

Cubs (59-46) @ Cardinals (53-52)

Mon, Jul 27, 7:45 PM · Busch Stadium

CHC -1500 · STL +690 · O/U 10.5

Chicago Cubs

-1500

David Peterson

57.2
Season ERA5.74(13 GS)Recent ERA6.15(5 GS)

St. Louis Cardinals

+690

Matthew Liberatore

54.6
Season ERA5.26(21 GS)Recent ERA5.22(5 GS)

Astros (52-55) @ Angels (42-64)

Mon, Jul 27, 9:38 PM · Angel Stadium

HOU +620 · LAA -1260 · O/U 9.5

Houston Astros

+620

Tatsuya Imai

51.8
Season ERA5.83(15 GS)Recent ERA5.80(5 GS)

Los Angeles Angels

-1260

Walbert Ureña

34.8
Season ERA2.76(17 GS)Recent ERA2.92(5 GS)

Red Sox (54-50) @ Athletics (44-61)

Mon, Jul 27, 9:40 PM · Sutter Health Park

BOS +115 · OAK -150 · O/U 5.5

Boston Red Sox

+115

Payton Tolle

34.3
Season ERA3.23(17 GS)Recent ERA3.24(5 GS)

Athletics

-150

Jack Perkins

53.7
Season ERA6.19(8 GS)Recent ERA6.39(5 GS)

Brewers (66-39) @ Giants (44-61)

Mon, Jul 27, 9:45 PM · Oracle Park

MIL +338 · SF -509 · O/U 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

+338

Brandon Sproat

48.6
Season ERA5.16(18 GS)Recent ERA5.16(5 GS)

San Francisco Giants

-509

Tyler Mahle

51.4
Season ERA5.01(17 GS)Recent ERA5.40(5 GS)

Guardians (54-53) @ Reds (49-55)

Mon, Jul 27, 7:10 PM · Great American Ball Park

CLE +139 · CIN -168 · O/U 9

Cleveland Guardians

+139

Slade Cecconi

48.8
Season ERA4.60(20 GS)Recent ERA4.45(5 GS)

Cincinnati Reds

-168

Chase Burns

29.6
Season ERA2.42(19 GS)Recent ERA2.34(5 GS)

Lineup Pending

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Top Matchups

The 3 games with the biggest fat pitch score differential — where one pitcher is a clear target.

Hot Hitters

Batters on a tear over their last 3–5 games. Stack them against today's belly-itchers.

Fat Pitch Recaps

Did yesterday's high-fat-pitch pitchers get lit up? Track how the scores performed.

Bet Tracker

Log your bets, track your results, and validate your edge over time.